No. As you might have guessed from the above photo, the Annabelle doll that inspired the movies is actually a vintage 1970s Raggedy Ann Doll manufactured by the Knickerbocker Toy Co., not a doll maker. Specifically, the original doll measures 32 inches long and is adorned in a calico dress and white apron. It's readily available on eBay. This debunks part of Annabelle 2's premise. Annabelle was not created by a doll maker. Now let's get to the rest.
Yes. If you recall from the first movie, a female member of a satanic cult named Annabelle Higgins died while holding the doll. Her blood dripped into the doll's eye, triggering it to become possessed by either her or a demon her cult had worshipped, or both. In that story, Annabelle dies when she is an adult. The origin story in that film is entirely fictional and not in line with the alleged true story.
In the prequel Annabelle 2, following the tragic death of a doll maker's daughter, Annabelle Mullins, he and his wife pray to see their beloved little girl again. Her spirit appears to them and asks permission to move into a doll so that she can be with them forever. They grant the request. However, it becomes jealous twenty years later after they decide to take in children from a sheltered orphanage, and the spirit begins to act not so nicely. The doll targets an orphan named Janice (Talitha Bateman), who it feels is taking its place in the home. While this story is fiction too, the Mullins' daughter's death in an automobile-related accident is at least somewhat true to the alleged real story, but that's where the similarities end.
While the doll maker, his wife, the nun and the orphans were all created for the movie, the little girl named Annabelle and her death in an automobile accident is in conjunction with what a medium allegedly told the doll's owner. It is important to note that the movie's trailer makes no claims about Annabelle: Creation being inspired by a true story. It seems the filmmakers realized that trying to promote Annabelle: Creation as a true story would be too far of a stretch, especially given the largely fictional first film.
Yes. Mezco Toyz released two versions of the doll, one via their Living Dead Series and one that looks closer to the doll in the movie (the more accurate version is pictured below). As of the writing of this article, the replica Annabelle doll is still available. Now you'll just need a creepy rocking chair to make your nightmares come true.
Watch the Annabelle: Creation preview for the horror movie.